The most delusion developer in California

From the press enterprise,

After two months of marketing his 141 luxury condos with not one sale, Mark Rubin said he has given up wooing buyers to the Raincross Promenade project in downtown Riverside that cost him $40 million to build.

Although late last week the sign fronting Market Street said the homes were for sale, Rubin said the truth is they now are for lease and the sign soon would be changed.

Lots of people admired the tony project with its lush landscaping and fountains and the upscale appointments of the condos, including granite counters and stainless steel appliances, the Beverly Hills developer said.

But he said prospective buyers kept trying to beat down his prices, even after he shaved $30,000 off the initial list prices ranging from $240,000 for a one-bedroom, one-bath condominium to $475,000 for a two bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath townhouse. (By the way, that's $240k for a 680 s/f shoebox!! That's $352 s/f or about 4 times the average price per sq/ft)

"There were no sales," Rubin said. "Everyone wants a bargain. They read about foreclosures and think they can buy for distress prices." (No, but no one wants ass raped on price)

Because he paid cash to develop the property, Rubin said he is under no threat of foreclosure from a bank and under no pressure to drop his prices. (hmm where have we heard this before? "I'm not giving them away")

He said he had promised the city council he would attempt to sell the units but that none of the councilmen had expected the condos would sell in the current economy and nothing legally prevents him from converting the project to apartments.

Also he said he discovered that most of the 500 people who had signed an interest list when the project was under construction had assumed that it would be an apartment complex.

So Rubin said he decided about a week ago to convert Raincross Promenade's sales staff to a leasing staff.

"I didn't want to fight windmills," he said. "If after a year the market changes, I will start selling them. If not, I will keep renting them."

Rubin said he and his wife still intend to move into the development. He said they probably will occupy a one-bedroom unit in the next few weeks.

Some real estate experts familiar with the Riverside market said it is no wonder the condos did not find buyers since condos are the weakest part of what is a very weak housing market.

Leasing out 141 condos also could be a challenge, the experts said, especially at the monthly rents that Rubin says he wants for the one- to three-bedroom units, which range from $1,250 to $1,925.

"He will have to test the market," and lower the rents if necessary, said John Kalmikov, a senior vice president and apartment specialist with Lee & Associates in Riverside. Kalmikov said the $1,850 monthly rent Rubin plans to charge for a two- bedroom unit is $200 to $300 higher than the average rent of newer two-bedroom apartments in Riverside. Also he said the typical one-bedroom apartment in the city rents for under $1,000.

But Kalmikov said there is demand for larger two- and three bedroom apartments with laundry hookups as renters seek to double up to lower their housing costs. Also he said those who work in downtown Riverside and want to avoid the costs of commuting might pay a premium.

In any case, Kalmikov said, Rubin has a history as a savvy developer and he will get a far better return on the money he invested in Raincross Promenade from the rental receipts than from putting the same money in a bank at today's rock bottom interest rates.

"I would do the same if I were in his shoes," Kalmikov said. "I would wait it out."

Ramping up

From calculated risk,

Servicers are not initiating or processing foreclosures at the pace they could be.

By postponing the date at which they lock in losses, banks and other investors positioned themselves to benefit from the slow mending of the real estate market. But now industry executives are questioning whether delaying foreclosures — a strategy contrary to the industry adage that "the first loss is the best loss" — is about to backfire. With home prices expected to fall as much as 10% further, the refusal to foreclose quickly on and sell distressed homes at inventory-clearing prices may be contributing to the stall of the overall market seen in July sales data.
...
Banks have filed fewer notices of default so far this year in California ... than they did 2009 or 2008, according to data gathered by [RadarLogic]. Foreclosure default notices are now at their lowest level since the second quarter of 2007, when the percentage of seriously delinquent loans in the state was one-sixth what it is now.

New data from LPS Applied Analytics in Jacksonville, Fla., suggests that the backlog is no longer worsening nationally — but foreclosures are not at the levels needed to clear existing inventory.
...
"The industry as a whole got into a panic mode and was worried about all these loans going into foreclosure and driving prices down, so they got all these programs, started Hamp and internal mods and short sales," said John Marecki, vice president of East Coast foreclosure operations for Prommis Solutions ... "Now they're looking at this, how they held off and they're getting to the point where maybe they made a mistake in that realm."
...
"The math doesn't bode well for what is ultimately going to occur on the real estate market," said Herb Blecher, a vice president at LPS. "You start asking yourself the question when you look at these numbers whether we are fixing the problem or delaying the inevitable."
There is much more in the article.

Note: The LPS delinquency data for July will be released tomorrow. Here are some of the findings (no link):
• July showed an astounding 24.5% month-over-month increase in foreclosure starts, which dovetails with Treasury's latest report on HAMP cancellations (approx. 50% according to Treasury's numbers)
• Abysmal foreclosure rates in NV, FL and CA have led to much higher level equity loss for homeowners in those states as compared to the rest of the country.
• Cure rates remain steady, but seriously delinquent (6 mos.+) cures have declined significantly, by approximately 25%
• Origination remains depressed due to much stricter underwriting guidelines and low purchase activity, but what is being originated is of good quality.
• Until the deterioration ratio improves from its steady two deteriorations for every one improvement, it's hard to see how we're going to get out of the hole.

fliptard alert




The fliptards are still at it. Most price the stuff reasonable close to comps. But not all of them.

18771 Oak Park Dr.
Nice big house in Woodcrest picked up on the courthouse steps for $473K back in April. It must have needed some serious work for it to take this long to get back on the market. But the listing price of $749k is about $150k higher than this thing has a hope of selling for. There have been a couple of really nice similar sized homes in this tract sell for under $500k. Those both had nice pools but slightly less "fluff". That leads me to think the market price of this will be in the $550k range and if the inside is really nice maybe up to $600k. $749k however is completely delusional.

Now lets rag on the realtard! Ok, first of all why the price? Getting past that what the hell is up with the all caps? Then we have all the normal misspellings, punctuations or lack there of and a few misplaced words, like the use of "state" instead of Estate. At first I thought it was a spelling error but she used it twice and spelled it the same way both times.

And where the heck are the pics of the inside?

Sales worst ever on record

Existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dropped 27.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million units in July from a downwardly revised 5.26 million in June, and are 25.5 percent below the 5.14 million-unit level in July 2009.

Am I the only one not surprised by those headlines. This was the biggest no brainer since car sales tanked after the cash for clunkers program. Really, are we to think they expected sales to stay the same after the government give away ended.

I have started to notice the inventory climbing in the nicer areas. A few months ago there was hardly anything in some of the areas I keep an eye on. Not any more. The inventory is definitely climbing with the slow down in sales.